Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.003061 0.003205 0.003353 0.003515 0.003687 0.003866 0.004066
2025-03-09 0.002801 0.003016 0.003244 0.003504 0.003793 0.004105 0.004470
2025-03-16 0.002623 0.002878 0.003155 0.003480 0.003852 0.004268 0.004769
2025-03-23 0.002469 0.002748 0.003058 0.003430 0.003865 0.004363 0.004982
2025-03-30 0.002345 0.002642 0.002978 0.003387 0.003876 0.004449 0.005177
2025-04-06 0.002264 0.002579 0.002940 0.003388 0.003934 0.004586 0.005434
2025-04-13 0.002133 0.002451 0.002819 0.003281 0.003854 0.004548 0.005468
2025-04-20 0.002074 0.002404 0.002791 0.003285 0.003906 0.004672 0.005708
2025-04-27 0.002043 0.002389 0.002801 0.003332 0.004012 0.004865 0.006044
2025-05-04 0.001976 0.002327 0.002749 0.003300 0.004013 0.004923 0.006202
2025-05-11 0.001920 0.002277 0.002709 0.003280 0.004029 0.004997 0.006382
2025-05-18 0.001866 0.002227 0.002668 0.003256 0.004037 0.005061 0.006548
2025-05-25 0.001841 0.002213 0.002672 0.003291 0.004125 0.005236 0.006880
2025-06-01 0.001797 0.002173 0.002641 0.003280 0.004149 0.005324 0.007093
2025-06-08 0.001751 0.002129 0.002604 0.003258 0.004158 0.005391 0.007276
2025-06-15 0.001698 0.002075 0.002551 0.003212 0.004131 0.005403 0.007377
2025-06-22 0.001650 0.002026 0.002504 0.003173 0.004111 0.005425 0.007492
2025-06-29 0.001621 0.002001 0.002487 0.003174 0.004147 0.005528 0.007734
2025-07-06 0.001555 0.001925 0.002401 0.003076 0.004040 0.005416 0.007637
2025-07-13 0.001531 0.001904 0.002388 0.003080 0.004077 0.005519 0.007880
2025-07-20 0.001523 0.001904 0.002403 0.003123 0.004173 0.005712 0.008279
2025-07-27 0.001488 0.001868 0.002368 0.003094 0.004160 0.005740 0.008408
2025-08-03 0.001459 0.001839 0.002341 0.003075 0.004164 0.005792 0.008578